KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Before Jan 20, 2029 41%
Calidad del mercado
64 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
13,5 €
Liquidez
147,9 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
41.0% / 42.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
22 mar 25, 14:00 UTC20 ene 29, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?
KalshiWill the Insurrection Act be invoked next presidential term (2025-2029)?
Manifold MarketsInsurrection Act invoked by which date?
PolymarketTrump invokes Insurrection Act by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Insurrection Act be invoked by the US government in 2026?
FutuurReglas
If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:the White HouseThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1117,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,1 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 resultados más
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 resultados más
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Volumen total
- 29,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 621,6 mil €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Volumen total
- 19,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 488,8 mil €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 resultados más
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act??
- Kalshi cotiza Before Jan 20, 2029 al 41% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act??
- Está previsto que Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act? se resuelva el 20 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.