Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElecciónGeopolítica2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 52.8%
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157
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado5 mar 25, 16:55 UTC21 ene 29, 3:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
The Insurrection Act of 1807 allows the U.S. president to deploy military and federalized National Guard troops within the United States to suppress civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
- During his first term, President Trump threatened to invoke the Act during the 2020 Black Lives Matter protests but ultimately did not.
- His allies have reportedly discussed potentially invoking it on his first day in office if he were re-elected.
- Trump has campaigned on increased militarization of law enforcement and using the military for domestic priorities such as border control and addressing civil unrest.
- In campaign speeches, he has referenced using the military against the "enemy from within," though the specific meaning of this phrase remains subject to interpretation.
- Resolution Criteria
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 53% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term??
- Está previsto que Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term? se resuelva el 21 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The Insurrection Act of 1807 allows the U.S. president to deploy military and federalized National Guard troops within the United States to suppress civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.