Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualDecember 31 39.9%Líder entre 28 opciones
Pronosticadores
32
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado15 ene 26, 15:35 UTC31 dic 26, 15:32 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Trump invokes Insurrection Act by EOY 2026?
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PolymarketWill Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
KalshiWill Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is elected president in 2028, will the Insurrection Act be formally invoked by January 21st 2032?
Manifold MarketsReglas
All answers end at 11:59 PM ET on each listed date.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Polymarket — Insurrection Act invoked by...? · December 31 14%
Mercados abiertos
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
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+48 resultados más
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POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-32.6pt51.5%
- Delcy Rodríguez+35.5pt47.5%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 resultados más
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- September 2097%
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- September 30-3.5pt77%
+3 resultados más
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- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
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- 621,3 mil €
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- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
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- 488,1 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by the following date??
- Manifold Markets cotiza December 31 al 40% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by the following date??
- Está previsto que Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by the following date? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by the following date??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: All answers end at 11:59 PM ET on each listed date.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by the following date??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket.