If this person is elected president in 2028, will the Insurrection Act be formally invoked by January 21st 2032?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección5aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualMarco Rubio 17.1%Líder entre 5 opciones
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Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado26 jun 26, 21:41 UTC20 ene 32, 23:59 UTC
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Resolves YES if this person became president of the United States after the 2028 US election, and the insurrection act is invoked by January 21st 2032 (the point at which their term would expire per the Constitution).
- Resolves NO if they were elected president and it isn't invoked.
- Resolves N/A if they weren't president at any time (winning the election but not being inaugurated also resolves N/A for that person, and YES/NO for whoever actually becomes president).
- If they resign and the Insurrection Act is invoked in this interval, still resolves YES (e.g. if they resign, their VP becomes president, and their VP invokes it).