KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Gustavo Petro 100%Líder entre 35 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤74 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
4,5 mil €
Liquidez
962 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
13 dic 25, 15:00 UTC2 ene 27, 3:17 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If the named outcome has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:office or organization where person holds officeThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office.
- Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official.
- The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
- "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal.
- Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Which World Leaders will be out in 2026? · Viktor Orban (Hungary Prime Minister) 100%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which leaders will leave office in 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza Gustavo Petro al 100% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which leaders will leave office in 2026??
- Está previsto que Which leaders will leave office in 2026? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which leaders will leave office in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the named outcome has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Which leaders will leave office in 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Manifold Markets.