KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualVladimir Putin 12%+1.0%Líder entre 37 opciones
Calidad del mercado
64 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
982,8 €
Liquidez
1,1 M €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
11.0% / 12.0%
Spread
9.1%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 23 minutos
11 nov 25, 15:002 ene 27, 3:17
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Vladimir Putin12%
Comparar plataformas· Keir Starmer
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 100% | — | 982,8 € | 1,1 M € | hace 23 minutos | |
 Manifold Markets78% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 100% | — | — | — | hace 6 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Manifold Markets
Which World Leaders will be out in 2026?
5m
100%
+0.4%96.5%
59%
+10 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario37 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
If Benjamin Netanyahu has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office.
- Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official.
- The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
- "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal.
- Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.5k35.0%KALSHIMiguel Díaz-Canel — Yeshace 18 d
KALSHIMiguel Díaz-Canel — Yeshace 18 dTendencia de volumen
$1.1k2 jul25d de datos26 jul
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If Benjamin Netanyahu has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office.
- Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official.
- The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
- "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal.
- Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office.