KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
William Ruto 18.9%+7.0ptLíder entre 10 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
57 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
784,9 €
Liquidez
10,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
6 feb 25, 15:001 ene 35, 15:00
Tendencias
Reglas
If the President of Kenya is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostABCNBCMSNBCSemaforAxiosThe InformationFox NewsPoliticoBloombergAP
- An announcement that a leader will leave their position is not sufficient to resolve the Payout Criterion; the individual must actually leave and no longer hold the title.
- If any leader leaves solely because they have died, then all markets will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death) or another fair price.
- If the President of South Africa is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President of Egypt is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President of Rwanda is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsKALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.7pt100%
- Seth Moulton-0.6pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.4%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.3%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 180,4 M €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 resultados más
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.3pt39%
- Renan Santos+0.7pt3%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt61%
- October 31+1.5pt39%
- September 30-1.0pt20%
+17 resultados más
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Next French Presidential Election
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which of these African leaders will leave office next??
- Kalshi cotiza William Ruto al 19% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which of these African leaders will leave office next??
- Está previsto que Which of these African leaders will leave office next? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2035.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which of these African leaders will leave office next??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the President of Kenya is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.