Pronóstico comunitario actual
Viktor Orban (Hungary Prime Minister) 100%Líder entre 13 opciones
Pronosticadores
45
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado20 feb 26, 23:02 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsReglas
To count as out, the leader must make an official announcement by 11.59pm 31 December 2026 in their countries capitals time zone that they are leaving or intending to leave their role, or they have left their role for any reason.
- Update 2026-02-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For leaders with elections: they must have left the role by the deadline (not just announced intention to leave).
- If a leader loses an election but remains in office during coalition negotiations, they do not count as "out" until they have actually left the role.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Kalshi — Which leaders will leave office in 2026? · Christopher Luxon 43%
