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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Política
  3. Which World Leaders will be out in 2026?
Manifold Markets

Which World Leaders will be out in 2026?

PolíticaIA6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSin KYC
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Manifold Markets
Pedro Sanchez (Spain Prime Minister) 50.9%
Líder entre 13 opciones
Pronosticadores

36

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado ayer

Desactualizado
20 feb 26, 23:0231 dic 26, 23:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Pedro Sanchez (Spain Prime Minister)51%

Reglas

To count as out, the leader must make an official announcement by 11.59pm 31 December 2026 in their countries capitals time zone that they are leaving or intending to leave their role, or they have left their role for any reason.

Manifold Markets
  • Update 2026-02-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For leaders with elections: they must have left the role by the deadline (not just announced intention to leave).
  • If a leader loses an election but remains in office during coalition negotiations, they do not count as "out" until they have actually left the role.

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$65,469.71+1.37%SolanaSOL$70.85+2.71%EthereumETH$1,713.34+1.66%DogecoinDOGE$0.0884+0.63%BNBBNB$613.62+0.62%AvalancheAVAX$6.71-0.10%

Noticias Relacionadas

Decentralized AI Networks Emerge as Counterweight to Government Control Over Frontier ModelsBlockchain ReporterAmazon warning triggered US crackdown on Anthropic AI models: ReportsCointelegraphIsrael PM odds edge toward Netanyahu as Polymarket shows hedged outlookBlockchain.NewsAnthropic shuts down Fable 5 access after US interventionCrypto NewsAnthropic's pre-IPO shares fall as US government shuts down its most powerful AI modelCoindeskAnthropic Halts Fable 5, Mythos 5 AI Models Following US OrderBlockchain.News

Reglas

To count as out, the leader must make an official announcement by 11.59pm 31 December 2026 in their countries capitals time zone that they are leaving or intending to leave their role, or they have left their role for any reason.

Manifold Markets
  • Update 2026-02-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For leaders with elections: they must have left the role by the deadline (not just announced intention to leave).
  • If a leader loses an election but remains in office during coalition negotiations, they do not count as "out" until they have actually left the role.