Pronóstico comunitario actual
Viktor Orban (Hungary Prime Minister) 100%Líder entre 13 opciones
Pronosticadores
40
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado20 feb 26, 23:0231 dic 26, 23:59
Tendencias
100%
Reglas
To count as out, the leader must make an official announcement by 11.59pm 31 December 2026 in their countries capitals time zone that they are leaving or intending to leave their role, or they have left their role for any reason.
- Update 2026-02-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For leaders with elections: they must have left the role by the deadline (not just announced intention to leave).
- If a leader loses an election but remains in office during coalition negotiations, they do not count as "out" until they have actually left the role.
Comparacion de fuentes de prediccion
- También disponible en Kalshi — Which leaders will leave office in 2026? · Keir Starmer 100%
- También disponible en Gemini — Which world leaders will leave office in 2026? · Viktor Orbán 100%
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which World Leaders will be out in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Viktor Orban (Hungary Prime Minister) al 100% a fecha de 21 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which World Leaders will be out in 2026??
- Está previsto que Which World Leaders will be out in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which World Leaders will be out in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: To count as out, the leader must make an official announcement by 11.59pm 31 December 2026 in their countries capitals time zone that they are leaving or intending to leave their role, or they have left their role for any reason.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Which World Leaders will be out in 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Kalshi, Gemini.