PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actualAugust 31 52%+2.0%Líder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
89 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
202,4 mil €
Liquidez
214,3 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
14.0% / 15.0%
Spread
7.1%
Spread moderadoCambio 7d
-8.0%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 minutos
15 jul 26, 19:5431 ago 26, 23:59
Tendencias
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
August 3152%
Operaciones grandes
$2.2k96.0%POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? — NoParz1vaIanteayer
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? — NoParz1vaIanteayer$1.8k60.0%POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? — NoDitto321anteayer
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? — NoDitto321anteayer$2.3k63.0%POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? — NoMEPPanteayer
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? — NoMEPPanteayer$4.5k92.0%POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? — NoMEPPanteayer
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? — NoMEPPanteayer$3.9k90.0%POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? — Nopaddaahace 4 d
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? — Nopaddaahace 4 d$1.6k87.6%POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? — Nozthunderfuryhace 4 d
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? — Nozthunderfuryhace 4 d$1.5k47.0%POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? — NoDitto321hace 4 d
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? — NoDitto321hace 4 d$1.3k46.0%POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? — NoMEPPhace 4 d
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? — NoMEPPhace 4 dTendencia de volumen
$230.3k15 jul10d de datos24 jul
Mercados Relacionados
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
1,1 M €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Iran full airspace closure by which date?
248,9 mil €August 31: 55%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Iran invades Kuwait by which date?
152,6 mil €August 31: 3%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
12,2 mil €Before Jan 1, 2027: 16%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4,7 mil €Sí: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Netanyahu be arrested?
2,9 mil €Before Oct 1, 2026: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Polymarket odds for US invasion of Iran before 2027 jump to 27.5%Blockchain.News
Polymarket sees 99.85% odds Israel–Iran ceasefire holds through July 18Blockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot jumps to 46% to lead Israel PM raceBlockchain.News
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- The first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (ET) after the most recent qualifying military action (or the date of market creation, if no qualifying action has occurred).
- The period runs through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day.
- This market resolves to “Yes” if any such period is completed where the most recent qualifying military action occurred on or before the specified end date (ET).
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United States, that directly impacts Iran.