Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?
1.1% (24h)GeopolíticaOne-OffMiddle East5d
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actualUnited States 12%-3.5%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
73 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
8,5 mil €
Liquidez
126,5 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
0.4% / 0.8%
Spread
100.0%
Spread amplioCambio 7d
-1.8%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
1 jul 26, 22:3531 jul 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
United States12%
Tendencia de volumen
$9.6k2 jul25d de datos26 jul
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz.
- Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
- For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman.
- Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.