PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
September 30 6%-5.5ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
68 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
4,4 mil €
Liquidez
19 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
4
Cambio 7d
-0.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
14 jul 26, 0:32 UTC30 sept 26, 20:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by which date?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Lebanon on?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Beirut by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump annex/take military action against Brazil by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the United States take military action against any other NATO member in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill both the House and Senate pass a resolution to limit military action in Iran?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel takes a qualifying military action against Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly impacts Yemen.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.