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Unverified resolution data: Jay Clayton (99%)
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 6, 2026, 11:15 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Jay Clayton99%
Aaron Lukas1%
Bill Pulte1%
Chris Stewart1%
John Ratcliffe1%
Mike Waltz1%
Richard Grenell1%
Robert O’Brien1%
Jay ClaytonAwaiting result
Aaron LukasAwaiting result
Bill PulteAwaiting result
Chris StewartAwaiting result
John RatcliffeAwaiting result
Mike WaltzAwaiting result
Richard GrenellAwaiting result
Robert O’BrienAwaiting result
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PolymarketRules
Subsequent to the launch of this market on May 22, 2026, the next individual confirmed by the U.S. Senate to the role of Director of National Intelligence shall be the individual named in the contract.
Contracts naming additional individuals may be added to this market at any time prior to settlement.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: N/A
Contracts naming additional individuals may be added to this market at any time prior to settlement.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: N/A