How many "truths" will Trump post from July 30 through August 5?
9.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics
PredictItClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
This market resolved: 181 to 200 (90%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 6, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
181 to 200 90%-9.0ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
-
24h Volume
—
Market data
Updated 15 days ago
StaleJul 30, 26, 3:23 PMAug 6, 26, 11:00 AM
Probability Timeline
120 or fewer1%
121 to 1401%
141 to 16010%
161 to 1801%
181 to 20090%
201 to 2202%
221 to 2401%
241 to 2601%
261 or more2%
90%
10%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the total number of posts made by President Trump on the Truth Social social media website between the beginning of July 30, 2026, and the end of August 5, 2026, as categorized by the Settlement Source and as displayed at the End Date listed below.
The Settlement Source shall be the counter on the "Trump Truth's" database for the relevant dates (located upon launch of this market at https://trumpstruth.org/search?query=&start_date=2026-07-30&end_date=2026-08-05&sort=date_desc&removed=current&per_page=50).
The Settlement Source shall be the counter on the "Trump Truth's" database for the relevant dates (located upon launch of this market at https://trumpstruth.org/search?query=&start_date=2026-07-30&end_date=2026-08-05&sort=date_desc&removed=current&per_page=50).
- Should that source be unavailable or deemed by PredictIt to be out of date upon the End Date listed below, PredictIt may at its sole discretion either await its restoration and/or update, select the most appropriate alternate source, or manually count Truth posts (not including deleted posts or posts that are only "re-truths") that are publicly available.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 08/06/2026 11:00 AM (ET)
