Will Trump complete his first term?
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleJan 6, 21, 12:00 AMJan 20, 21, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This is a market on if Donald Trump will complete his first four-year term as President of the United States without consideration for temporary incapacity.
- The resolution source for this market will be the equivalent PredictIt market, https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5158/Will-Donald-Trump-complete-his-first-term.
- If the source market resolves as Yes, this market will also resolve to Yes.
- If it resolves to No, this market will also resolve to No.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump complete his first term??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Will Trump complete his first term? resolve?
- Will Trump complete his first term? is scheduled to resolve on January 20, 2021.
- How is Will Trump complete his first term? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This is a market on if Donald Trump will complete his first four-year term as President of the United States without consideration for temporary incapacity.