Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention?
Geopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Aug 15, 2023, 6:15 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleAug 1, 23, 7:32 PMAug 14, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if troops from countries other than Niger conduct officially acknowledged offensive military operations within the sovereign territory of Niger between August 1, 2023 and August 14, 2023 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the intervention to count toward a "Yes" resolution, the officially acknowledged offensive military operations must involve that country's physical military presence within the sovereign territory of Niger.
- For the purposes of this market, "offensive military operations" resulting in a "Yes" resolution specifically do not include actions exclusively related to surveillance performed by aircraft, drones, satellites, etc. Official acknowledgement must include statements indicating foreign military intervention from the foreign government making the intervention.
- A consensus of credible reporting may be used to ascertain the validity of an official acknowledgement.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention? resolve?
- Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention? is scheduled to resolve on August 14, 2023.
- How is Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if troops from countries other than Niger conduct officially acknowledged offensive military operations within the sovereign territory of Niger between August 1, 2023 and August 14, 2023 11:59 PM ET.