Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5?
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Mar 6, 2024, 7:01 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleNov 15, 23, 7:40 PMMar 5, 24, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Manchin (D-WV) announces that he is running for president of the United States of America in 2024, by March 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Joe Manchin will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed to run for president of the United States, or whether he actually files to run for president in the future.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Joe Manchin (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his legal representation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5? resolve?
- Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5? is scheduled to resolve on March 5, 2024.
- How is Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Manchin (D-WV) announces that he is running for president of the United States of America in 2024, by March 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.