PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 90%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$11.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
87.4% / 91.7%
Spread
4.3 pt
Moderate spread7d Change
-2.1 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Nov 4, 25, 2:22 AMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes90%
Compare venues· Yes
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 90% | — | $0 | $11.8K | 13 minutes ago | |
 Manifold Markets93% match · auto | — | 96% | — | — | — | 14 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
5mo
96.3%
3.7%
Community forecast24 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
- Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
- The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- The policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date.
- An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify.
- Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$8Jul 325d of dataJul 27
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
- Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
- The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- The policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date.
- An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify.
- Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify.