Will Kari Lake win the 2022 Arizona Republican Gubernatorial nomination?
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleJul 30, 22, 12:00 AMAug 2, 22, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This is a market on whether Kari Lake will win the Republican nomination for Governor of Arizona.
- The primary election is scheduled to take place on August 2, 2022.
- If Kari Lake wins the Republican nomination for Governor of Arizona, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Determination of the Republican nominee for the 2022 election for the Governor of Arizona will be based on a consensus of credible reporting; or, if there is ambiguity, the final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.
- If no Republican nomination for Governor of Arizona is determined by October 24, 2022, 12:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
