Will Kari Lake win the 2022 Arizona Republican Gubernatorial nomination?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

This market resolved: Yes

Limited resolution evidence

CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.

Current implied probability

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 179 days ago

Stale

Jul 30, 22, 12:00 AM UTCAug 2, 22, 12:00 AM UTC

Probability Timeline

Yes100%

No0%

Yes

Won

Lost

Rules

This is a market on whether Kari Lake will win the Republican nomination for Governor of Arizona.

The primary election is scheduled to take place on August 2, 2022.
If Kari Lake wins the Republican nomination for Governor of Arizona, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Determination of the Republican nominee for the 2022 election for the Governor of Arizona will be based on a consensus of credible reporting; or, if there is ambiguity, the final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results.
If no Republican nomination for Governor of Arizona is determined by October 24, 2022, 12:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

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