Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 37.0% or higher on July 28?
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleJul 21, 22, 12:00 AMJul 28, 22, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 37.0% for the day of July 28, 2022.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- The resolution data for July 28 will be checked on July 29, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check.
- If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for July 28 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on July 29, 2022.
