PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 98%+0.1pt
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$15.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
1.3% / 2.6%
Spread
1.3 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+0.2 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 25, 26, 9:42 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Ilhan Omar be a Member of Congress at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ilhan Omar win the Minnesota 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons.
- Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.
- A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
- The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $805.6K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt44.1%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $63.6M
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $14.5M
- 24h Vol
- $290.1K
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026??
- Polymarket prices No at 98% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026? resolve?
- Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Ilhan Omar be deported in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.