Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023?
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleJul 5, 22, 12:00 AMDec 31, 22, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if before the resolution time of this market of January 1, 2023, 12 AM ET, Donald John Trump or his authorized representative does at least one of the following: - Files a Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) - Amends an existing Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the FEC - Designates a principal campaign committee for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election - Otherwise files or communicates with the FEC with the same effect as the filing of a Form 2 Statement of Candidacy for the 2024 election
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Please note that any informal declarations by Donald Trump and/or his representatives regarding Trump's intentions to run will have no bearing on this market; only the above criteria will be used to resolve this market.
- This market will resolve based on the official FEC website https://www.fec.gov/ though a consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? resolve?
- Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2022.
- How is Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if before the resolution time of this market of January 1, 2023, 12 AM ET, Donald John Trump or his authorized representative does at least one of the following: - Files a Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) - Amends an existing Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the FEC - Designates a principal campaign committee for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election - Otherwise files or communicates with the FEC with the same effect as the filing of a Form 2 Statement of Candidacy for the 2024 election