Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on December 31, 2021?
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleNov 28, 21, 12:00 AMDec 31, 21, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This is a market on if Donald Trump will be President of the United States on December 31, 2021, 11:59 PM ET.
- This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, on the resolution date, Donald Trump is the current President of the United States, officially substantiated by official US government sources, like the links provided as the resolution source.
- If, for any reason, Donald Trump is not the sitting President of the United States on that date, this market will resolve to “No".
- The resolution sources are: 1. https://www.loc.gov/rr/print/list/057_chron.html, 2. https://history.house.gov/Institution/Presidents-Coinciding/Presidents-Coinciding/ and 3. https://www.whitehouse.gov/.
- If any of these 3 sources list Donald Trump officially as the current sitting president on the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
