Will Biden or Haley drop out first?
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Haley
Resolved: Mar 6, 2024, 6:45 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Haley 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleFeb 12, 24, 5:25 PMNov 5, 24, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Biden0%
Haley100%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Biden" if President Joseph Biden drops out of the 2024 US presidential race before Nikki Haley.
- This market will resolve to "Haley" if Nikki Haley drops out of the 2024 US presidential race before President Joseph Biden.
- In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent either candidate from continuing the race, this market will consider the candidate that can no longer run to have dropped out.
- If neither candidate drops out at any point before the 2024 election day (November 5, 2024 ET), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from this candidate or their official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Biden or Haley drop out first??
- Polymarket prices Haley at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Will Biden or Haley drop out first? resolve?
- Will Biden or Haley drop out first? is scheduled to resolve on November 5, 2024.
- How is Will Biden or Haley drop out first? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Biden" if President Joseph Biden drops out of the 2024 US presidential race before Nikki Haley.