PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 4%
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$82K
High liquidityBid / Ask
3.8% / 3.9%
Spread
2.6%
Tight spread7d Change
-1.2%
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Feb 6, 26, 10:41 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
Yes4%
Related Markets
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?
$939KJune 30: 31%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
$896.9June 30: 9%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
$188.1Yes: 3%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
$102.9Trump bans abortion nationwide: 5.5%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIf Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
$50Yes: 18.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
$7.3Before 2027: 15%
KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto News
Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto News
Trump adviser Patrick Witt backs sweeping crypto tax billsCrypto News
U.S. judge blocks Trump’s $100,000 H-1B visa fee after state challengeCrypto News
Trump walks out of interview after clash over election fraud claims Crypto News
Congress nears final vote on $70 billion immigration funding packageCrypto NewsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
- An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur.
- Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.