Will a bill which increases long-term capital gains taxes above 20% become law by August 10, 2021?
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleApr 28, 21, 12:00 AMAug 10, 21, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This is a market on whether a bill will be passed in the U.S. raising long-term capital gains tax rates for individuals to above 20%, by the resolution date, August 10, 2021, 12:00 PM ET.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by the resolution date, a bill is signed into law in the U.S. which effectively increases the marginal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals to a rate higher than 20% for any tax bracket.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source for this market is https://www.congress.gov/, which will be checked regularly to see if a bill meeting the aforementioned criteria is listed as having “became law” on or before the resolution date.
- In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
- In response to trader inquiry: This market doesn't include the 3.8% surtax on net investment income (NII).
