Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4?
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Jun 1, 2023, 3:31 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleMay 30, 23, 2:33 PMJun 4, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 140 or more House Republicans vote “Yea” on the first vote on passage of “H.R.3746 - Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023” by June 4, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
- Only the first such vote on passage of the act is considered for this market: namely if less than 140 House Republicans vote “Yea” on the first vote, the market will resolve to “No.”
- Note: The vote on this act must be finalized and closed ("gaveled") by June 4, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET for the market to resolve to “Yes.” Any ongoing vote that is not yet closed will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
- The resolution source will be US governmental sources such as https://www.congress.gov/roll-call-votes however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
