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Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 8:35 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
JD Vance 28%Leader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$706.6
Low liquiditySpread
36.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 3:03 PM UTCSep 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve according to the individual who leads the next White House press briefing following the creation of this market.
- Resolution is based on who actually delivers the briefing from the podium, not on who is listed or announced in advance.
- If the individual scheduled or announced to give a briefing does not ultimately lead it, this market will resolve to the individual who does.
- An individual who appears at a qualifying briefing only as a guest, or who speaks only after being introduced by the individual leading the briefing, will not qualify.
- For the purposes of this market, a White House press briefing is an event listed on the public White House schedule as a press briefing.
- Any such briefing will qualify, even if the individual leading it has not been formally announced as the Press Secretary or as an acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" briefings and special briefings including additional guests will qualify, so long as the individual leads the briefing.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will give the next White House press briefing??
- Polymarket prices JD Vance at 28% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will give the next White House press briefing? resolve?
- Who will give the next White House press briefing? is scheduled to resolve on September 30, 2026.
- How is Who will give the next White House press briefing? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the individual who leads the next White House press briefing following the creation of this market.