Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election?
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Larry Elder
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
Larry Elder 100%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleProbability Timeline
Gavin Newsom0%
Larry Elder100%
Other0%
100%
0%
0%
Rules
This is a market on who will come in 2nd place in the recall election for California governor, currently scheduled for September 14, 2021.
- For the purposes of this market, if the named outcome is recalled (removed) as Governor as a result of this election, he will be considered to have finished in 2nd place.
- Otherwise, if the named outcome is not recalled (removed) as governor as a result of this election, the 2nd place finisher will be the candidate who receives the most votes.
- The resolution source will be any official results of the recall election.
- The brackets are [the named outcome, the named outcome, Other].
- If the named outcome and another candidate receive exactly the same number of votes, the "the named outcome" and "Other" brackets will resolve to 50 cents each.
