What will Trump's approval rating hit by June 30, 2027?
0.3 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection8mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
↓ 37% · —
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Stored reference
↓ 37% 85%Leader of 12 outcomes
↓ 37% 85%Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$6K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$5.9K
Bid / Ask
— / —
↓ 37%Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+23.5 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Oct 12, 26, 10:09 PM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · ↓ 37%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (10/23-10/30)
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's approval rating according to RealClearPolling reaches the listed value at 5:00 PM ET on any date between market creation and June 30, 2027.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For markets listed with an upward arrow (↑), the approval rating must be equal to or higher than the listed value.
- For markets listed with a downward arrow (↓), the approval rating must be equal to or lower than the listed value.
- This market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on each date in the window.
- Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after these times will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below.