PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
American Dream 92%+7.0ptLeader of 28 outcomes
Market quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.3K
Liquidity
$11.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 26, 26, 11:54 PMSep 30, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between September 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A 'mention' will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
- Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
- Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Who Are You With / Where Are You From is 90%. Quotes span about 3 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference Who Are You With / Where Are You From 90% · 2 venues · 3 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — What will Trump say in September? · Golden Age 99%
Open markets
US Politics
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.9pt99%
- Seth Moulton-1.3pt1%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $807.9K
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt62%
- October 31+3.0pt40%
- September 30+1.0pt21%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+2.9pt52%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt18%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt3%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Total Vol
- $63.7M
- 24h Vol
- $328.3K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.1pt20%
- Jon Ossoff-0.1pt16%
- Gavin Newsom15%
+48 more outcomes
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Michigan Senate winner?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Trump out as President before 2027?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will Trump say in September??
- Polymarket prices American Dream at 92% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does What will Trump say in September? resolve?
- What will Trump say in September? is scheduled to resolve on September 30, 2026.
- How is What will Trump say in September? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between September 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Where else is What will Trump say in September? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.