PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
China 81%Leader of 10 outcomes
China 81%Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$427.6
Liquidity
$940.4
Low liquiditySpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Oct 2, 26, 10:28 PM UTCOct 11, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will Trump post this week? (September 28 - October 4)
PolymarketWhat will Elon post this week? (October 5 - October 11)
PolymarketWhat words or phrases will Trump post on Truth Social in 2026? (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsWill Trump post an image of him as a Hindu deity or priest or Buddha before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many "truths" will Trump post from Oct. 1 through Oct. 7?
PredictItWill Donald Trump post an image of himself as the prophet Muhammad?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between October 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
- Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full.
- (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
- Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context.
