What will the margin be in the winning round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?

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This market resolved: Under 1%

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Current implied probability

Market quality

7 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 180 days ago

Stale

Probability Timeline

Under 1%100%

1% to 2%0%

Over 2%0%

Under 1%

Won

1% to 2%

Lost

Over 2%

Lost

Rules

This is a market on what the margin will be in the winning round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary.

The margin is defined as the difference between the percentage of votes for the first-place candidate and the percentage of votes for the second-place candidate in the winning round of the 2021 NYC Democratic Mayoral Primary, as shown in the certified election results.
The winning round is defined as the first round in which any candidate first receives more than 50% of all active ballots.
Percentages of the vote are calculated by dividing the number of votes won by each candidate over the total number of votes for all ballot-listed or write-in candidates in the winning round.
Ballots that are listed as exhausted, spoiled, or otherwise inactive in the winning round will not be included.
The brackets are “Under 1%”, “1% to 2%”, and “Over 2%”.

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