What will the margin be in the winning round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
PoliticsPolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Under 1%
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probabilityUnder 1% 100%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleProbability Timeline
Under 1%100%
1% to 2%0%
Over 2%0%
100%
0%
0%
Rules
This is a market on what the margin will be in the winning round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary.
- The margin is defined as the difference between the percentage of votes for the first-place candidate and the percentage of votes for the second-place candidate in the winning round of the 2021 NYC Democratic Mayoral Primary, as shown in the certified election results.
- The winning round is defined as the first round in which any candidate first receives more than 50% of all active ballots.
- Percentages of the vote are calculated by dividing the number of votes won by each candidate over the total number of votes for all ballot-listed or write-in candidates in the winning round.
- Ballots that are listed as exhausted, spoiled, or otherwise inactive in the winning round will not be included.
- The brackets are “Under 1%”, “1% to 2%”, and “Over 2%”.
