Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28?
1.0 pts (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle East5d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 54.5%-1.0pt
Market quality
57 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$566.3
Liquidity
$1.1K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
44.0% / 47.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Aug 21, 26, 8:27 PMAug 28, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs or issues an executive order, proclamation, or memorandum authorizing or ordering new sanctions on Iran by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran.
- Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
- Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify.
- The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
