Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle East
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Oct 1, 2026, 11:43 AM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 11:27 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
September 306%
August 280%
September 30Lost
August 28Lost
September 15Lost
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs or issues an executive order, proclamation, or memorandum authorizing or ordering new sanctions on Iran by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran.
- Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
- Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify.
- The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
