PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 99%
No 99%Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$9.1K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$980.6
Bid / Ask
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NoSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 34 minutes ago
Nov 11, 26, 12:39 AM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump insult Xi during the APEC trip?
PolymarketTrump endorses the eventual winner of the 2028 GOP presidential nomination
Manifold MarketsWho will join Trump at APEC in China?
PolymarketWill Trump and Xi hug at APEC?
PolymarketWill Trump and Xi kiss at APEC?
PolymarketWhich world leaders will Trump meet at the APEC summit in Shenzhen (Nov 18-19, 2026)?
Manifold MarketsRules
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China to attend the APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting in Shenzhen on November 18-19, 2026, where he is expected to meet Xi Jinping.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump publicly endorses the People's Republic of China's claim of sovereignty over Taiwan by the end of this visit.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- To qualify, Trump must make an explicit public statement affirming that Taiwan is part of China, that China has sovereignty over Taiwan, or that the United States supports China's claim to Taiwan.
- Restating the long-standing United States "One China policy", acknowledging that China holds such a position, noting that the United States does not support Taiwanese independence, or declining to say whether the United States would defend Taiwan will not qualify, as none of these constitutes an endorsement of China's claim.
- Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
