When does The Thiel Parlay resolve?

The Thiel Parlay is scheduled to resolve on November 8, 2022.

The Thiel Parlay

Politics Sports

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

This market resolved: No

Limited resolution evidence

CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.

Current implied probability

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 180 days ago

Stale

Nov 4, 22, 12:00 AM UTCNov 8, 22, 12:00 AM UTC

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

Won

Yes

Lost

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ALL of the following conditions are true as a result of the 2022 U.S. midterm elections, scheduled to take place on November 8, 2022:

1) James David Vance (J.D. Vance) wins the 2022 Ohio U.S. Senate election 2) Blake Gates Masters wins the 2022 Arizona U.S. Senate election 3) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S. Senate 4) The Republican Party wins control of the U.S.

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The Thiel Parlay

The Thiel Parlay

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Frequently asked questions

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