PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
↑ 70% · —
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Stored reference
↑ 70% 30%Leader of 3 outcomes
↑ 70% 30%Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$965
Liquidity
$12.1K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$4.1K
Bid / Ask
— / —
↑ 70%Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-6.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Oct 16, 26, 3:16 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · ↑ 70%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?
PolymarketIf James Talarico wins the Texas Senate election, will democrats win another statewide office?
Manifold MarketsWill James Talarico win the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExIf James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill James Talarico win Starr County in the 2026 Texas Senate election?
Manifold MarketsWill James Talarico win Starr County by 7.000% or more in the 2026 Texas Senate election?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the hourly odds value for James Talarico (D) in the "Texas Senate Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com meets or exceeds the listed threshold for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph on that option's detail page.
- Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent).
- An hour in which the hourly odds value for James Talarico (D) is below the listed threshold ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values.
- Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for James Talarico (D) (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values.
