Current implied probability
<105 56.2%+20.5ptLeader of 7 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.1K
Liquidity
$98.1K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
+46.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Aug 11, 26, 1:27 PM UTCSep 13, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
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Manifold MarketsRules
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) as a result of this election.
- Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Swedish Social Democratic Party, officially registered as Arbetarepartiet-Socialdemokraterna (S).
- Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
- If S formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.