Selected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 34%
December 31 34%Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$50
Liquidity
$10.5K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$520.8
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-24.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 14, 26, 9:47 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · December 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Sweden snap election called in 2026?
PolymarketSerbian presidential election called by which date?
PolymarketDenmark snap election called by December 31?
PolymarketSaxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?
PolymarketWill a new legislative election be called in France in 2026?
FutuurWill a snap election be called in the UK this year?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
- Only a writ issued after market creation will count.
- The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
