Data quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 4, 2026, 3:26 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
June 30, 2027 40%
Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$3K
Medium liquidityTraders
0
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for December 31, 2026 is 12%. Quotes span about 3 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference December 31, 2026 12% · 2 venues · 3 pt venue spread
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
- Marco Rubio17%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $697.5M
- 24h Vol
- $3.3M
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.7pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 more outcomes
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt53.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt42.7%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt1.9%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.5pt36.8%
- Édouard Philippe29.5%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.7%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom12.9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $210.3M
- 24h Vol
- $428.4K
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- North Carolina Senate winner?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for UK election called by ??
- Futuur prices June 30, 2027 at 40% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does UK election called by ? resolve?
- UK election called by ? is scheduled to resolve on June 30, 2027.
- Where else is UK election called by ? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.