Current implied probability
Željka Cvijanović 82.1%Leader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$55.5K
High liquiditySpread
5.7 pt
Wide spreadComments
2
7d Change
+3.5 pts
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
May 12, 26, 11:55 PM UTCOct 4, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina
FutuurNext Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
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Manifold MarketsRules
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member.
- The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska.
- General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
- Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
- If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Open markets
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina??
- Polymarket prices Željka Cvijanović at 82% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina? resolve?
- Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina? is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2026.
- How is Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member.