Current implied probability
Åsa Johansson 82.3%+7.0ptLeader of 9 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$4.7K
Liquidity
$137K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+6.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Aug 11, 26, 4:23 AM UTCSep 13, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
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Manifold MarketsRules
Regional elections to elect the Regional Council of Värmland, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region Värmland following the 2026 Swedish regional elections.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board.
- Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Sweden and Region Värmland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
