Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 8:09 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
No release by November 30 · —
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Stored reference
No release by November 30 44%Leader of 32 outcomes
No release by November 30 44%Market quality
25 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3K
Liquidity
$2.8K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$846.6
Bid / Ask
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No release by November 30Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleOct 28, 26, 9:51 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · No release by November 30
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by which date?
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Manifold MarketsWill Google release a model officially named "Gemini 4 Flash" by November 13, 2026?
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PolymarketWhen will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) is made available to the general public.
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini" and "Flash-Lite" and be designated as version 3.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 3.6 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite or Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash-Lite, while models whose name does not include "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.6, such as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite, will not qualify.
- Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash-Lite Image, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
