Current community forecast
No 70.7%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 47 minutes ago
LaggingOct 14, 26, 5:14 AM UTCNov 14, 26, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves YES if, between market creation and November 13, 2026 11:59 PM Pacific, Google makes a model officially named "Gemini 4 Flash" available to the public: in the Gemini app, Google AI Studio, the Gemini API, or Vertex AI.
- What counts:
- Any variant whose official name contains "Gemini 4 Flash": Preview, Experimental, Live, Image, Thinking and so on.
- A public preview counts, and so does a paid-tier-only release.
- Evidence: an official Google post (blog.google, developers.googleblog.com, cloud.google.com/blog) or the Gemini API changelog (ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/changelog) naming the model as available.
- What does NOT count:
