Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 11:53 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
November 30 · —
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Stored reference
November 30 61%Leader of 3 outcomes
November 30 61%Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$90
Liquidity
$762.8
Low liquidityOpen interest
$1.3K
Bid / Ask
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November 30Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+3.5 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 14, 26, 9:47 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
September 30Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · November 30
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by which date?
PolymarketWill Google release a model officially named "Gemini 4 Flash" by November 13, 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
PolymarketHow low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash input token price get in 2026?
KalshiHow low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash output token price (paid tier) get in 2026?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini" and "Flash-Lite" and be designated as version 3.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 3.6 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite or Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash-Lite, while models whose name does not include "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.6, such as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite, will not qualify.
- Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash-Lite Image, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
