How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash output token price (paid tier) get in 2026?
CommoditiesYearlyAITech2mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 10:06 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
$8/MTok or below · —
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Stored price
$8/MTok or below 5%Market line of 4 lines
$8/MTok or below 5%Market quality
19 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$166
Open interest
$7.1K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
$8/MTok or belowSpread
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Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJun 8, 26, 7:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · $8/MTok or below
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash on https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/pricing#standard is at or below $8 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Google Gemini Developer API pricing
- The market resolves based on the price listed of the Output Token Price (Paid Tier) for Google Gemini 3.5 Flash in 2026 on https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/pricing#standard. The price must be explicitly displayed on the API pricing section of that page. If the product is renamed or succeeded, the closest equivalent product controls. If the page is unavailable on the expiration date, the last available published price will be used. Prices are in USD per MTok. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution — only the standard listed API price applies. If no data is available by the Expiration Date, the last available price for Google Gemini 3.5 Flash in 2026 will be used. If no prior value is available, all strikes shall resolve to “No”.
Rules for each outcome
- $8/MTok or below
- If the Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash on https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/pricing#standard is at or below $8 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $5/MTok or below
- If the Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash on https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/pricing#standard is at or below $5 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $7/MTok or below
- If the Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash on https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/pricing#standard is at or below $7 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- $6/MTok or below
- If the Output Token Price (Paid Tier) of Google Gemini 3.5 Flash on https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/pricing#standard is at or below $6 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
