KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
$15/MTok or below 13%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$8K
Medium liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jun 8, 26, 7:00 PM UTCApr 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If the Output Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 on https://claude.com/pricing#api is at or below $20 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Anthropic
- The market resolves based on the price listed of the Output Token Price for Claude Opus 4.8 in in 2026 on https://claude.com/pricing#api.
- The price must be explicitly displayed on the API pricing section of that page.
- If the product is renamed or succeeded, the closest equivalent product controls.
- If the page is unavailable on the expiration date, the last available published price will be used.
- Prices are in USD per MTok.
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.175099%
- Above 4.160099%
- Above 4.170099%
+26 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $460.1K
- 24h Vol
- $459.9K
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.900099%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $230.5K
- 24h Vol
- $230.4K
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 more outcomes
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIOhio gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.900099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $91.2K
- 24h Vol
- $91.2K
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.1400+25.0pt99%
- Above 4.1200+10.0pt99%
- Above 4.0800+5.0pt99%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Brent crude oil price on September 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 8, 2026
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Pennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 output token price get in 2026??
- Kalshi prices $15/MTok or below at 13% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 output token price get in 2026? resolve?
- How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 output token price get in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on April 1, 2027.
- How is How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 output token price get in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Output Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 on https://claude.com/pricing#api is at or below $20 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.