PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
September 28 72%+27.5ptLeader of 23 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
September 28 72%+27.5ptMarket quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$25.2K
Liquidity
$49.5K
High liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Sep 24, 26, 7:31 AM UTCOct 16, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
On or prior to September 24Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next Claude Sonnet released by which date?
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.
- Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet.
- Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants.
- Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
