PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 6%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.4K
Liquidity
$61K
High liquiditySpread
1.9 pt
Tight spreadComments
10
7d Change
-1.4 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jul 20, 26, 2:36 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian military forces enter Kuwait by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET in a military operation that establishes control over any portion of Kuwait territory.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any Iranian military operation which remains on the ground inside the territory of Kuwait for less than 48 hours will not qualify.
- Mere presence of Iranian military forces within Kuwait will not alone qualify, even if for longer than 48 hours.
- A consensus of credible reporting must demonstrate that such presence is or was part of a military operation which established control over a portion of Kuwait.
- Only the entry of Iranian military forces into the territory of Kuwait must occur by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Open markets
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+5 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
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+17 more outcomes
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- September 18+2.5pt75%
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+2 more outcomes
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- Yes4%
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- 24h Vol
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POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 more outcomes
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+17 more outcomes
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- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Iran invades Kuwait by which date??
- Polymarket prices December 31 at 6% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Iran invades Kuwait by which date? resolve?
- Iran invades Kuwait by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Iran invades Kuwait by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian military forces enter Kuwait by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET in a military operation that establishes control over any portion of Kuwait territory.