PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAugust 31 3%-2.6%
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$173.7K
Liquidity
$152.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
3.2% / 3.4%
Spread
6.3%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jul 20, 26, 2:36 AMAug 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
August 313%
Large trades
$7.0k95.9%POLYMARKETIran invades Kuwait by August 31? — NoWzapS2d ago
POLYMARKETIran invades Kuwait by August 31? — NoWzapS2d agoVolume trend
$173.7kJul 205d of dataJul 24
Related Markets
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
$1.2MJuly 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Iran full airspace closure by which date?
$283.2KAugust 31: 55%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
$230.3KAugust 31: 52%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
$13.9KBefore Jan 1, 2027: 16%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
$5.3KYes: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Netanyahu be arrested?
$3.3KBefore Oct 1, 2026: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket odds for US invasion of Iran before 2027 jump to 27.5%Blockchain.News
Polymarket sees 99.85% odds Israel–Iran ceasefire holds through July 18Blockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot jumps to 46% to lead Israel PM raceBlockchain.News
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian military forces enter Kuwait by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET in a military operation that establishes control over any portion of Kuwait territory.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any Iranian military operation which remains on the ground inside the territory of Kuwait for less than 48 hours will not qualify.
- Mere presence of Iranian military forces within Kuwait will not alone qualify, even if for longer than 48 hours.
- A consensus of credible reporting must demonstrate that such presence is or was part of a military operation which established control over a portion of Kuwait.
- Only the entry of Iranian military forces into the territory of Kuwait must occur by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.