Iran in possession of nuclear weapons by EoY?
GeopoliticsPolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Jan 1, 2024, 7:03 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probabilityNo 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 147 days ago
StaleOct 8, 23, 8:30 PMDec 31, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2023, ET. The market will resolve to "No" if there is no credible confirmation of Iran possessing a nuclear weapon by this date.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Iran in possession of nuclear weapons by EoY??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of March 31, 2026.
- When does Iran in possession of nuclear weapons by EoY? resolve?
- Iran in possession of nuclear weapons by EoY? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2023.
- How is Iran in possession of nuclear weapons by EoY? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2023, ET. The market will resolve to "No" if there is no credible confirmation of Iran possessing a nuclear weapon by this date.