PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
0 to 50k 28%+3.5ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$270
Liquidity
$19K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 4, 26, 4:37 PM UTCOct 3, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
New case or terminal to be added in the game by the end of September?
LimitlessJobs numbers in Sep 2026?
KalshiJobs numbers in Nov 2026?
KalshiJobs numbers in October 2026?
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.3% in September 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 5% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
- The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Open markets
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $104.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.7M
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $417K
- 24h Vol
- $41.5K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $638K
- 24h Vol
- $34K
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-2.0pt58%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $12.5K
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $20.6K
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-2.0pt22%
- Total Vol
- $360.8K
- 24h Vol
- $7.6K
- Recession this year?
- CPI in September
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many jobs added in September??
- Polymarket prices 0 to 50k at 28% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does How many jobs added in September? resolve?
- How many jobs added in September? is scheduled to resolve on October 3, 2026.
- How is How many jobs added in September? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.