PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31, 9%
Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8.3K
Liquidity
$33.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 7.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-1.5 pts
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jul 21, 26, 6:53 PM UTCNov 2, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election?
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by the specified date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For purposes of this market, "Before the Midterms" is defined to mean by November 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
- Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify.
- A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
- Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.